Missouri vs Tennessee 11/10/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Missouri winning 42% of simulations, and Tennessee 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Missouri commits fewer turnovers in 32% of simulations and they go on to win 56% when they take care of the ball. Tennessee wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kendial Lawrence is averaging 81 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Tyler Bray is averaging 305 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEN -3.5
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